Monday, December 26, 2011

To all who still think that in the war of attrition between the USD and the EUR (because contrary to what some have “discovered” only recently, currency wars have been going on for a long, long time and will continue to do so, before morphing into trade and real wars), in which both currencies are doomed, and where the winner takes it all, if only for a few minutes, we bring to your attention the following most recent update out of the Pacific Rim (where incidentally the Shanghai Composite has resumed its relentless track lower with the obvious intention of closing 2011 at its 52 week low) in which we find i) that the dollar’s hegemonic control over the world is ending, and ii) that the mercantilist relationship so long sustained between China and the US, may be shifting and reversing, and in its next metamorphosis will see Japan buying the bonds of… China (although probably not for long – see next post). As Bloomberg reports, “Japan and China will promote direct trading of yen and yuan without using dollars and will encourage the development of a market for the exchange, to cut costs for companies, the Japanese government said. Japan will also apply to buy Chinese bonds next year, the Japanese government said in a statement after a meeting between Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda and Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao in Beijing yesterday.” And before someone blows it off as merely more foreign relations posturing, ““Given the huge size of the trade volume between the Asia’s two biggest economies, this agreement is much more significant than any other pacts China has signed with other nations,” said Ren Xianfang, a Beijing-based economist with IHS Global Insight Ltd.” As for China’s reverse mercantilist move, one which will stun anyone who believes that Yuan is still undervalued, “Finance Minister Jun Azumi said Dec. 20 buying of Chinese bonds would be beneficial for Japan because it would help reveal more information about financial markets in China, the world’s largest holder of foreign currency reserves.” Speaking of, has Albert Edwards gloated yet that given enough time, he always ends up being proven right, in this case about the CNY’s upcomingdevaluation?
Some more on the direct FX bypass, something which should piss of USD traders quite a bit, fromBloomberg:
Encouraging direct yen-yuan trades will aim to reduce currency risks and trading costs, Japan’s government said. Currently, about 60 percent of trade transactions between the two nations are settled in dollars, according to Japan’s Finance Ministry. China is Japan’s biggest trading partner.
Then-finance minister Noda said in September 2010 that Japan should be able to invest in China’s market given that China buys Japanese debt. Japan holds $1.3 trillion of foreign- currency reserves, the world’s second largest.
Austria has already been granted the eligibility to buy Chinese bonds, according to the Japanese government official. Central banks from Thailand to Nigeria plan to start buying yuan assets as slowing global growth has capped interest rates in the U.S. and Europe.
Investing in Chinese debt has become easier for central banks as issuance of yuan-denominated bonds in Hong Kong more than tripled to 112 billion yuan ($18 billion) this year and institutions were granted quotas to invest onshore.
So while the US and Europe bicker over just who it is that will first end up bailing out one then the other, those who are supposedly doing the bailing, have decided to gradually move away from the interminable financial sink hole that is the developed world. All that needs to happen next is for Russia and India to join this compact, and Jim O’Neill will be proven ‘right’, although with a 100% inverse outcome to the one desired by the Goldmanite, as globalization proceeds merrily on its way… just without the US and Europe.


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Dear Fellow Conservative,

During my entire time in Congress, I have often stood alone.

Whether it was opposing unconstitutional legislation or simply being willing to speak out for our fundamental freedoms on the House floor, there have been countless times when no one was willing to take on the establishment with me.

That's just one reason I'm so grateful to have the support of millions of grassroots patriots like you.

To tell you the truth, I've never needed it more.

Isn't it amazing how nasty and vicious the establishment gets when its talking heads and anointed champions are scared?

It shouldn't come as a surprise, yet I still find myself just shaking my head at the levels to which they're willing to stoop to keep you and me from being able to enjoy the full blessings of freedom.

But you know, there's one key truth we must not forget.

They wouldn't be this angry if we weren't winning.

Quite simply, they know I'm not alone anymore.

Everyday Americans, from small business owners, to stay-at-home moms, to veterans, to young people struggling to get a start on their dreams, are joining with me.

Our campaign is surging just as voters get ready to head to the polls.
Click to donate

As they take deeper looks at my opponents, they're realizing that the other candidates are only offering more of the same.

Whether it's supporting the $700 BILLION TARP bailouts and the individual mandate central to ObamaCare, or failing to stand up for life, or threatening our Second Amendment freedoms, Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich's records leave little to stand out from the policies of Barack Obama.

The American people want - and deserve - real change. And the Republican Party needs to nominate someone who won't have to spend their general election campaign apologizing for their past positions.

We now face one final hurdle before Iowa, and that's the end of the quarter fundraising deadline on December 31.

I'm setting a goal of
raising $2 million this week so we can finish this quarter strong.

Please help me
reach this important marker.

I know you've been digging deep to give me the resources I need to win, and believe me, your generous contributions are paying off each day with every phone call we make, every piece of mail we send, and every ad spot we purchase.

All of our success would be impossible without your backing.

But there are three major reasons I must be able to count on you this week.

*** As we wrap up our campaigning in Iowa and New Hampshire, the schedule only intensifies. Several states, including South Carolina, Florida, and Nevada, are just around the corner, and we can only increase our efforts there and capitalize on our momentum if we reach this $2 million goal.

*** The attack dogs have been unleashed like never before, and I can't continue to counter their lies and get the truth out about my views and consistent record without you.

*** The establishment will be closely watching to see if their heavy assaults have damaged our cause. I want to show them that our resolve is stronger than ever. That for all of their time and energy, they haven't even made a dent in our campaign's march to victory.
So please, give whatever you can today to help our campaign raise $2 million by December 31.

Click to donate

Although I've been in the fight for liberty a long time now, I've never seen a better opportunity for us to take our country back.

I've never seen more people respond so enthusiastically.

I've never felt more hopeful about what we can accomplish.

You and I are about to enter the most exciting election season I can remember.

And we can win.

The establishment knows this.

They know I've got millions of reinforcements working every day to change the status quo and get this nation back on track.

And this week, they're watching to see just how determined we are to keep fighting their relentless, desperate onslaught.

Please, donate today and help me remind them that no amount of lies and no amount of their other usual tricks can stop a movement whose time has come.

For Liberty,

Ron Paul

P.S. I have set a goal of raising $2 million by the end of the quarter fundraising deadline (December 31) to capitalize on our campaign's momentum so we can continue to get the truth about my record out to the voters and show the establishment that their assaults have failed.

They know I'm not alone, and that I've got millions of reinforcements fighting every day to restore our nation.

Let's prove that our resolve is stronger than ever.

Please, contribute whatever you are able right away to help ensure I have every resource possible to claim victory as we enter election season.
Click to donate




Paid for by Ron Paul 2012 Presidential Campaign Committee

www.ronpaul2012.com
Stories abound of Good Samaritans recently visiting Kmart stores and paying off Christmas layaway bills for shoppers who may be struggling to make ends meet.
“At Kmart stores across the country, Santa seems to be getting some help: Anonymous donors are paying off strangers’ layaway accounts, buying the Christmas gifts other families couldn’t afford, especially toys and children’s clothes set aside by impoverished parents.” – Anonymous donors pay strangers’ Christmas layaway accounts, www.freep.com, Dec. 16, 2011
Now you know I write about stocks, and I’ll get to that, but I want to talk a little about Christmas and charity first.
I saw this story about generous people paying off layaways at Kmart about a week ago. I posted it on Facebook and suggested that people humanize their charitable giving by helping their fellow man in a concrete way.
The general problem that many of us experience in giving is that we know that, if we give to a big organization, quite a few dollars go towards administrative expenses, and quite a few dollars go to unrepentant addicted people. We are left with the niggling feeling that “there’s got to be a better way”. And so I encourage people to walk into the local church and say, “Who is unemployed and needs help with their utility bills?” Or visit a sick person and mow their lawn. Or pay the annual school book fees for the children of a struggling divorced mom. We don’t have to give to the United Way. We can give to human beings, and it’s likely to be a more uplifting experience.
This morning I saw another article about charity at Kmart, and decided that would be my next topic. Later in the day, I headed down to the County Court to begin a small claims court proceeding. It left a very negative taste in my mouth — I don’t like hostility and arguments and such, and the last thing I want to do is fight with people. But the landlord refused to return the security deposit, and if they’re doing it to me, they’re doing it to everybody, so somebody has to put a stop to it. And that somebody is going to be me.
As I drove away, a little sour at the prospect of a fight with the landlord, I turned on Dave Ramsey’s radio show, and he was doing a segment on charitable giving. Lots of people were calling in to discuss their joyous giving and receiving experiences. And then one of them said, “I went to Kmart to pay off someone’s layaway bill.”
And right away I turned to the right and headed down the road to Target. I needed some of that joy. The lady at the Target service desk told me that Target doesn’t do layaway, but suggested I go to Wal-Mart or Kmart.
I googled Kmart locations, and there weren’t any nearby, but there was a Wal-Mart a block away. I went to the Wal-Mart customer service desk and stood in a long line. I was suddenly quite nervous, and I had a lump in my throat. Why was this scary?
When I spoke to the lady at the desk, she said that the layaway area was in the back of the store, and “today’s the last day!” Last day for what? And then I realized that if people didn’t pay for their layaway bills today, their items would be restocked so that Wal-Mart could sell them before Christmas. It added some urgency to my plan.
At the back of the store, I found a service area with four clerks and a customer paying off a $276 layaway bill for electronic items. One of the clerks — a young, smiling Hispanic woman — jokingly asked if he could pay off her layaway bill, and kept glancing nervously at a little bicycle behind the counter.
The lady who waited on me was rather confused as to what I wanted to do, and I didn’t want to be loud and let everybody know that I was there to pay off a layaway bill for a stranger. But she got her supervisor involved, so the jig was up. The supervisor, Gina, realized right away what I intended to do. She told me they recently had a man come in and pay $100 each towards three different layaway bills. Gina got busy reviewing the layaway tickets, but each time she found one with toys on it, it also had things like t.v.s and Ipods. Gina understood the purchasing profile of a poor person, and these people weren’t poor enough.
Then she asked me to step aside with her, to a seating area, at which point she whispered to me, “My co-worker has two little boys, she’s pregnant, and her husband just left her. She wants to buy her boy that bicycle, but she knows she’s going to have to put it back on the sales floor today. Would you like to pay for the bicycle?” Absolutely!
I was thrilled to be able to see the actual person who would benefit from my $61. We agreed to keep it a secret until I left the store.
Driving home, you can bet that the landlord conflict didn’t cross my mind again, and I was sort of teary thinking about the young mom and her lot in life.
And now it’s time to write about Kmart, which we all want to root for, but Kmart didn’t really do anything in this story. Kmart just provided a venue. As did Wal-Mart. The real story here is the human spirit of survival and generosity. If we have a life worth living, we take turns swaying from one to the other, so that we can each experience both the joys of giving and receiving.
As for Kmart stock, it’s a no-go. Kmart is a subsidiary of Sears Holdings Corporation (SHLD, $46.16). And Wall Street consensus estimates show that Sears will be losing money in fiscal years 2012 through 2014. Sears is apparently in survival mode, and with a spirit of generosity, I wish them well.
Sears Holdings Corporation Stock Chart
Crista Huff

Crista Huff

Crista Huff is a retired stockbroker from a NYSE member investment firm. She writes about market-timing at Goodfellow LLC and is active politically.
Christmas is a time when many Americans reflect on the many blessings enjoyed by each of us in this great nation. Churches and synagogues are full as Americans, of all faiths, take time to pause and consider the meaning of our lives and our responsibilities to others. What a pity that our President does not participate in these simple acts of faith! Our nation would be better if he did.
There has been much ink spilled over President Obama's belief in God (or lack thereof), in the strength of his faith, in questioning what his faith is ( Christian, Muslim, other ?), and wondering what church he attends/ will attend. After almost three years, Americans do not yet have an answer to those questions. Nor are they likely to since Obama's calculating use of the clergy and religion is usually timed to garner a boost in the polls.
In deed and action, Mr Obama has actually projected a thinly disguised contempt towards people of faith, such as when he uttered his iconic "clinging to their guns and religion" speech during the 2008 presidential election campaign.
Our President is much like the fellow Narcissus, who, according to legend, was so in love with himself that he stared endlessly at his own reflection. Obama is a man quite full of himself and recently told Americans that he views himself as fourth on the list of great American Presidents-- a surprising list that doesn't include George Washington.
Meantime, Michelle Obama's Christmas gift to Americans was her comment to Barbara Walters about "putting herself as her first priority" which shows a narcissistic tendency but also a fundamental lack of understanding about the nature of public service and the "job" she signed up to as the First Lady of the United States.
Americans take great pride in American Exceptionalism. We are proud of this great nation, proud of our great history, proud of our unparalleled philanthropy as a nation, proud of our balanced, impartial system of justice, and proud of the American free market system which has made our nation so prosperous.
But, in our presidents, we prefer to see humility.
Think back on Arnold Friberg's great painting, George Washington in Prayer at Valley Forge. Or the insistence of Thomas Jefferson, John Adams and Ben Franklin that "God" be included in the Declaration of Independence. Or Abraham Lincoln's soaring, faith-based language in his Second Inaugural Address. Or Ronald Reagan's poignant speech after the Challenger tragedy, as they "slipped the surly bonds of earth to 'touch the face of God." And, despite political differences, after the tragedy of 9/11, Americans took comfort in the "quiet faith" of George W. Bush, tenacious and persistent in a time of war.
Americans, regardless of their faith, want presidents who recognize that our many blessings are bestowed and "endowed by our creator". We want to see presidents with their heads bowed with a bit of humility instead of being locked in a reflective gaze of their own image.

Lurita Doan

Lurita Doan

Lurita Alexis Doan is an African American conservative commentator who writes about issues affecting the federal government.

 

Sunday, December 25, 2011

Alexander's Essay – December 22, 2011

Our Founders Were Forthright About Faith


America's Christian Heritage v Season's PC


"The Commander in Chief directs that divine Service be performed every Sunday at 11 oClock in those Brigades to which there are Chaplains; those which have none to attend the places of worship nearest to them. It is expected that Officers of all Ranks will by their attendence set an Example to their men. While we are zealously performing the duties of good Citizens and soldiers we certainly ought not to be inattentive to the higher duties of Religion. To the distinguished Character of Patriot, it should be our highest Glory to add the more distinguished Character of Christian. The signal Instances of providential Goodness which we have experienced and which have now almost crowned our labours with complete Success, demand from us in a peculiar manner the warmest returns of Gratitude and Piety to the Supreme Author of all Good." --George Washington, General Orders, (May 2nd, 1778)

Washington at Valley Forge

Each year, our family observes with due respect and reverence six national days of recognition: Patriots Day, Memorial Day, Independence Day, Constitution Day, Veterans Day and Thanksgiving.

However, the most hallowed religious observance in our family, and the one with the most deeply rooted traditions, is Christmas. It is not a commercial feeding frenzy for us, but a quiet and reverent time of rest and celebration of the birth of Christ, punctuated by extended family festivities.

Unfortunately there is a perennial societal tension now associated with Christmas. If not for its dire implications for the future of Liberty, the seasonal contortions over "non-offensive greetings" would be humorous. The Left insists the word "Christmas" violates the phony "Wall of Separation" doctrine if a government employee deigns to utter it within earshot, and that it is too ethnocentric for corporate use.

Some years ago, The Patriot Post coined the greeting "Happy Christmahanakwamadan." We did so in response to the fashionable PC crowd's ludicrous demands for "inclusive faith neutral" greetings. We also published our legal department disclaimer outlining the terms of acceptance for the greeting as a counterpoint to retailers vying for your business who have instituted policies discouraging or outright prohibiting any mention of "Christmas." We do not challenge private sector employer's right to dictate corporate policies on such matters.

Do you believe that restricting public expressions of faith threatens Liberty? Post your opinion.

However, the ongoing campaign to censor Christmas from public forums is another matter.

For example, this year there were disturbing new guidelines advising members of Congress and government employees that it would be unethical and even illegal to use specific religious greetings in conversation and correspondence with constituents and service recipients. While Virginia Rep. Scott Rigell recorded his rejection of those guidelines, this is an ominous development and foreboding precedent.

Ironically, it's often these same censors who take shortcuts such as wishing folks "Happy Holidays" or "Merry Xmas." Perhaps they're unaware that the word holiday is derived from "Holy Day," and that Xmas is derived from combining the Greek letter "chi," denoting "Christ," with the Old English word for "Mass."

Meanwhile, over in the Executive Branch, Barack Hussein Obama recently found Jesus when dedicating the 60-foot-tall 2011 Capitol Christmas Tree. Of course, this was only in response to polls indicating that Christians give Obama his lowest job approval ratings. Turns out that Jesus Christ is conspicuously absent from the Capitol Christmas Tree in the form of any ornaments. The tree is adorned, however, with prominently placed handmade ornaments paying adoring tribute to Obama. When our colleagues at Media Research Center inquired about the lack of Christian ornaments, the Architect of the Capitol office responded, "There may be ornaments like those you describe near the top of the tree, or they could have been obscured or moved due to wind or weather."

No question there is a lot of "wind" around the White House these days.

For the record, civilian Inspectors General and military JAGs cause a lot of heartburn for millions of government and military personnel, who must constantly check their comments because they will lose jobs or advancements in rank because of any public remark that might be construed to advocate a particular theological viewpoint. However, there is no basis in our authentic Constitution for such stringent expurgation, and that would be the same venerable document that outlines the Liberties both civilian and military government employs pledge to "support and defend."

Our Founders, the framers of our Declaration of Independence and Constitution, had no such concerns about public expressions of faith, as none was warranted. Conversely, they were bold about promoting Christianity and speaking about their own faith.


Historian Peter Lillback, author of "Sacred Fire," an exhaustive scholarly treatise on George Washington, notes that it is only in recent years, with the searchable digital publication of our Founders' writings, that we get an accurate picture of their faith, and expression of same.

Lillback writes, "Washington referred to himself frequently using the words 'ardent,' 'fervent,' 'pious,' and 'devout.' There are over one hundred different prayers composed and written by Washington in his own hand. He described himself as one of the deepest men of faith of his day when he confessed to a clergyman, 'No Man has a more perfect Reliance on the alwise, and powerful dispensations of the Supreme Being than I have nor thinks his aid more necessary.' Although he never once used the word 'Deist' in his voluminous writings, he often mentioned religion, Christianity, and the Gospel. He spoke of Christ as 'the divine Author of our blessed religion.' He wrote of 'the blessed religion revealed in the Word of God.' He encouraged seekers to learn 'the religion of Jesus Christ.' He even said to his soldiers, 'To the distinguished Character of Patriot, it should be our highest Glory to add the more distinguished Character of Christian.'"

Believe it or not, Washington did not need to consult pollsters or focus groups, as General or President, before issuing proclamations of faith. He spoke them from his heart, just as most of our Founders did.

Here follows, in alphabetical order, a small sample of how other notable Founders expressed their faith.

John Adams: The general principles on which the fathers achieved independence were the general principles of Christianity. I will avow that I then believed, and now believe, that those general principles of Christianity are as eternal and immutable as the existence and attributes of God. ... The Christian religion is, above all the religions that ever prevailed or existed in ancient or modern times, the religion of wisdom, virtue, equity and humanity.

Samuel Adams: I [rely] upon the merits of Jesus Christ for a pardon of all my sins. ... I conceive we cannot better express ourselves than by humbly supplicating the Supreme Ruler of the world ... bringing in the holy and happy period when the kingdoms of our Lord and Savior Jesus Christ may be everywhere established, and the people willingly bow to the scepter of Him who is the Prince of Peace. ... We may with one heart and voice humbly implore His gracious and free pardon through Jesus Christ, supplicating His Divine aid ... [and] above all to cause the religion of Jesus Christ, in its true spirit, to spread far and wide till the whole earth shall be filled with His glory.

John Hancock: That the spiritual kingdom of our Lord and Savior Jesus Christ may be continually increasing until the whole earth shall be filled with His glory.

Patrick Henry: Being a Christian ... is a character which I prize far above all this world has or can boast. ... The Bible is a book worth more than all the other books that were ever printed. ... This is all the inheritance I can give to my dear family. The religion of Christ can give them one, which will make them rich indeed.

John Jay: Condescend, merciful Father! to grant as far as proper these imperfect petitions, to accept these inadequate thanksgivings, and to pardon whatever of sin hath mingled in them for the sake of Jesus Christ, our blessed Lord and Savior; unto Whom, with Thee, and the blessed Spirit, ever one God, be rendered all honor and glory, now and forever. ... The Bible is the best of all books, for it is the word of God and teaches us the way to be happy in this world and in the next. Continue therefore to read it and to regulate your life by its precepts. ... Providence has given to our people the choice of their rulers, and it is the duty as well as the privilege and interest of our Christian nation, to select and prefer Christians for their rulers.

Thomas Jefferson: I am a Christian in the only sense in which He wished anyone to be: sincerely attached to His doctrines in preference to all others. ... I am a real Christian -- that is to say, a disciple of the doctrines of Jesus Christ.

James Madison: I have sometimes thought there could not be a stronger testimony in favor of religion or against temporal enjoyments, even the most rational and manly, than for men who occupy the most honorable and gainful departments and [who] are rising in reputation and wealth, publicly to declare their unsatisfactoriness by becoming fervent advocates in the cause of Christ.

I saved my favorite quote on Christmas for last: "How many observe Christ's birth-day! How few, his precepts! O! 'tis easier to keep Holidays than Commandments." --Benjamin Franklin (1743)

My point in listing these snippets of wisdom from our Founders is to make the case plain that the Left's proscription on the expression of faith, censorship that is antithetical to the very existence of our Constitution and Liberty, will not cease until such expressions have been expelled from all public venues and forums. Then, and only then, can the rule of men fully supersede the Rule of Law.

Please join our team in prayer for our uniformed Patriot Soldiers, Sailors, Airmen, Marines serving in places far away, and especially for the families enduring their absence, so that we might once again celebrate Christmas as a free people.

We invite you to post a prayer for our country, and uniformed Patriots defending her.

As always, on behalf of our staff and National Advisory Committee, I am humbled to stand with you among the ranks of our Patriot countrymen. We wish peace and God's blessing upon you and your family.

Happy Holy Days and Merry Christ's Mass!

Semper Vigilo, Fortis, Paratus et Fidelis!
Libertas aut Mortis!

Mark Alexander
Publisher, The Patriot Post


P.S. If you have not already done so, please take a moment to support our 2011 Year-End Campaign today by making a contribution -- however large or small. If you prefer to support us by mail, please use our printable donor form.

Geologists Wonder If The Northwest Is Up Next For A Giant Earthquake




Since the magnitude 9.1 earthquake in Sumatra in 2004, five more giant earthquakes have struck the continents ringing the Pacific Ocean. And some experts speculate that the planet has entered a period of increased seismic activity that could trigger giant earthquakes in vulnerable regions including the Pacific Northwest.

A somewhat reassuring new study suggests otherwise.

University of California researchers examined the timing of earthquakes worldwide from 1900 and found no evidence of a domino effect in which one great earthquake triggers others on distant continents. It could be random chance.

"We don't want people to assume that our conclusion means the ongoing risk is small," says study co-author Peter Shearer, a professor of geophysics at the University of California San Diego. "There is a significant risk of big earthquakes in all subduction zones." It's just that the run of very large earthquakes most likely does nothing to change the risk in distant locations, Shearer says.

But the data is less than convincing to some experts, who think it's possible that short-term risk of a great earthquake has increased in the Northwest.

"There is a possibility that maybe we should be worried about this," says Oregon State University geologist Chris Goldfinger. "I definitely do not dismiss it."

Thorne Lay, a professor of geophysics at the University of California Santa Cruz, says scientists don't understand the physical processes well enough to rule out long-distance triggering of great earthquakes based on observations to date.

"One would really need to have good data in the location of each great event to see whether earlier remote large events had changed earthquake timing locally," he says. "Unfortunately, careful work has not been done in all regions of recent big events or the data are very poor due to lack of nearby seismic networks."

The likelihood that a magnitude-9 earthquake will hit the Northwest within 50 years is about 10 to 15 percent, according to the most widely cited estimate. From Northern California to British Columbia, an ocean-spanning slab called the Juan de Fuca Plate is pushing beneath the North American plate in the Cascadia subduction zone. Geologists have found evidence of 19 massive earthquakes on this fault in the past 10,000 years.

The most recent struck in 1700. It drove a 30-foot wall of water over low-lying coastal areas. The tsunami crossed the Pacific and flattened houses along Japan's east coast.

View full sizePeter Shearer & Philip StarkGlobal earthquake magnitudes (A) and yearly rates of quakes at differing magnitudes (B-D) from 1900 to the present.

Global records since 1900 show a cluster of very large earthquakes between 1950 and 1965 followed by 38-year pause in magnitude 8.5 or greater events until the surge that began in 2004. The number of events in both clusters was too few to stand out as more than random variation, Shearer and co-author Philip Stark conclude in a paper published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

"For the very large events, occurring so infrequently, we would have to have a much longer earthquake catalog to evaluate whether they truly are clustered or not," Shearer says. To get around this problem, the researchers looked for significant changes in the global frequency of smaller earthquakes, reasoning that any geological process that increases the rate of large earthquakes should also increase the rate of smaller earthquakes. They found no clustering of smaller earthquakes.

"That suggests that it's more likely that the surplus of magnitude 9 events was just due to random chance, and not due to some process," Shearer says. And, he says, "there isn't a plausible physical mechanism that would link an earthquake in South America, say, to an earthquake in Japan. The events are just too far apart."

While Goldfinger agrees geologists know of no process that could drive a global increase in great earthquakes, he says that doesn't mean such a process doesn't exist. To prove or disprove clustering of great earthquakes, Goldfinger says scientists have to look back further than 100 years of recorded earthquakes.

"Cycles of earthquakes may take many thousands of years to play out, and therefore the 100 years of seismology we have simply doesn't address the long term energy trends at all," he says.

Geophysicist Emily Brodsky, a professor at the University of California Santa Cruz, said: "If we can identify a mechanism of interaction between these earthquakes, then the story would change dramatically. Thus far, no such mechanism has been definitively shown and so we are stuck with the statistics for the time being."

Goldfinger and others have reconstructed a 10,000-year history of major quakes along the Cascadia subduction zone by examining the remnants of undersea landslides. History suggests that magnitude-9 quakes strike in the northernmost section about once every 260 years during a cluster, and clusters are separated by gaps of 1,000 years of lesser activity. On the southern end, smaller quakes -- roughly magnitude 8 -- recur at regular intervals rather than clustering.

In southern Oregon and Northern California, Goldfinger and colleagues calculate a probability of 37 percent that an earthquake will strike within 50 years. In the northern segment, Goldfinger's group puts the odds at 10 to 15 percent during the next 50 years.

Whether the recent upturn in great quakes changes these probabilities, "We just don't have any idea at this stage," Goldfinger says. "I can't say yes, and I can't say no."
Local Cops Ready for War With Homeland Security-Funded Military Weapons




Nestled amid plains so flat the locals joke you can watch your dog run away for miles, Fargo treasures its placid lifestyle, seldom pierced by the mayhem and violence common in other urban communities. North Dakota’s largest city has averaged fewer than two homicides a year since 2005, and there’s not been a single international terrorism prosecution in the last decade.

But that hasn’t stopped authorities in Fargo and its surrounding county from going on an $8 million buying spree to arm police officers with the sort of gear once reserved only for soldiers fighting foreign wars.

Every city squad car is equipped today with a military-style assault rifle, and officers can don Kevlar helmets able to withstand incoming fire from battlefield-grade ammunition. And for that epic confrontation—if it ever occurs—officers can now summon a new $256,643 armored truck, complete with a rotating turret. For now, though, the menacing truck is used mostly for training and appearances at the annual city picnic, where it’s been parked near the children’s bounce house.

“Most people are so fascinated by it, because nothing happens here,” says Carol Archbold, a Fargo resident and criminal justice professor at North Dakota State University. “There’s no terrorism here.”

Like Fargo, thousands of other local police departments nationwide have been amassing stockpiles of military-style equipment in the name of homeland security, aided by more than $34 billion in federal grants since the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, a Daily Beast investigation conducted by the Center for Investigative Reporting has found.

The buying spree has transformed local police departments into small, army-like forces, and put intimidating equipment into the hands of civilian officers. And that is raising questions about whether the strategy has gone too far, creating a culture and capability that jeopardizes public safety and civil rights while creating an expensive false sense of security.

“The argument for up-armoring is always based on the least likely of terrorist scenarios,” says Mark Randol, a former terrorism expert at the Congressional Research Service, the nonpartisan research arm of Congress. “Anyone can get a gun and shoot up stuff. No amount of SWAT equipment can stop that.”

Local police bristle at the suggestion that they’ve become “militarized,” arguing the upgrade in firepower and other equipment is necessary to combat criminals with more lethal capabilities. They point to the 1997 Los Angeles-area bank robbers who pinned police for hours with assault weapons, the gun-wielding student who perpetrated the Virginia Tech massacre in 2007, and the terrorists who waged a bloody rampage in Mumbai, India, that left 164 people dead and 300 wounded in 2008.

The new weaponry and battle gear, they insist, helps save lives in the face of such threats. “I don’t see us as militarizing police; I see us as keeping abreast with society,” former Los Angeles Police chief William Bratton says. “And we are a gun-crazy society.”

“I don’t see us as militarizing police; I see us as keeping abreast with society.”

Adds Fargo Police Lt. Ross Renner, who commands the regional SWAT team: “It’s foolish to not be cognizant of the threats out there, whether it’s New York, Los Angeles, or Fargo. Our residents have the right to be protected. We don’t have everyday threats here when it comes to terrorism, but we are asked to be prepared.”

The skepticism about the Homeland spending spree is less severe for Washington, D.C., Los Angeles and New York, which are presumed to be likelier targets. But questions persist about whether money was handed out elsewhere with any regard for risk assessment or need. And the gap in accounting for the decade-long spending spree is undeniable. The U.S. Homeland Security Department says it doesn’t closely track what’s been bought with its tax dollars or how the equipment is used. State and local governments don’t maintain uniform records either.

To assess the changes in law enforcement for The Daily Beast, the Center for Investigative Reporting conducted interviews and reviewed grant spending records obtained through open records requests in 41 states. The probe found stockpiles of weaponry and military-style protective equipment worthy of a defense contractor’s sales catalog.

In Montgomery County, Texas, the sheriff’s department owns a $300,000 pilotless surveillance drone, like those used to hunt down al Qaeda terrorists in the remote tribal regions of Pakistan and Afghanistan. In Augusta, Maine, with fewer than 20,000 people and where an officer hasn’t died from gunfire in the line of duty in more than 125 years, police bought eight $1,500 tactical vests. Police in Des Moines, Iowa, bought two $180,000 bomb-disarming robots, while an Arizona sheriff is now the proud owner of a surplus Army tank.

The flood of money opened to local police after 9/11, but slowed slightly in recent years. Still, the Department of Homeland Security awarded more than $2 billion in grants to local police in 2011, and President Obama’s 2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment Act contributed an additional half-billion dollars.

Law enforcement officials say the armored vehicles, assault weapons, and combat uniforms used by their officers provide a public safety benefit beyond their advertised capabilities, creating a sort of “shock and awe” experience they hope will encourage suspects to surrender more quickly.

“The only time I hear the complaint of ‘God, you guys look scary’ is if the incident turns out to be nothing,” says West Hartford, Conn., Police Lt. Jeremy Clark, who organizes an annual SWAT competition.

A grainy YouTube video from one of Clark’s recent competitions shows just how far the police transformation has come, displaying officers in battle fatigues, helmets, and multi-pocketed vests storming a hostile scene. One with a pistol strapped to his hip swings a battering ram into a door. A colleague lobs a flash-bang grenade into a field. Another officer, holding a pistol and wearing a rifle strapped to his back, peeks cautiously inside a bus.

The images unfold to the pulsing, ominous soundtrack of a popular videogame, Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2. Though resembling soldiers in a far-flung war zone, the stars of this video are Massachusetts State Police troopers.

The number of SWAT teams participating in Clark’s event doubled to 40 between 2004 and 2009 as Homeland’s police funding swelled. The competition provides real-life scenarios for training, and Clark believes it is essential, because he fears many SWAT teams are falling below the 16 hours of minimum monthly training recommended by the National Tactical Officers Association.

“Luck is not for cops. Luck is for drunks and fools,” Clark said, explaining his devotion to training.

One beneficiary of Homeland’s largesse are military contractors, who have found a new market for their wares and sponsor training events like the one Clark oversees in Connecticut or a similar Urban Shield event held in California.

Special ops supplier Blackhawk Industries, founded by a former Navy SEAL, was among several Urban Shield sponsors this year. Other sponsors for such training peddle wares like ThunderSledge breaching tools for smashing open locked or chained doors, Lenco Armored Vehicles bulletproof box trucks, and KDH Defense Systems’s body armor.

“As criminal organizations are increasingly armed with military-style weapons, law enforcement operations require the same level of field-tested and combat-proven protection used by soldiers and Marines in Iraq, Afghanistan, and other high-risk locations,” boasts an Oshkosh Corp. brochure at a recent police seminar, where the company pitched its “tactical protector vehicle.”

The trend shows no sign of abating. The homeland security market for state and local agencies is projected to reach $19.2 billion by 2014, up from an estimated $15.8 billion in fiscal 2009, according to the Homeland Security Research Corp.

The rise of equipment purchases has paralleled an apparent increase in local SWAT teams, but reliable numbers are hard to come by. The National Tactical Officers Association, which provides training and develops SWAT standards, says it currently has about 1,650 team memberships, up from 1,026 in 2000.

Many of America’s newly armed officers are ex-military veterans from the front lines of Iraq and Afghanistan. Charles Ramsey, who was police chief in Washington, D.C., on 9/11, upgraded the weaponry when he moved to Philadelphia in 2008. Today, some 1,500 Philly beat cops are trained to use AR-15 assault rifles.

“We have a lot of people here, like most departments, who are ex-military,” Ramsey says. “Some people are very much into guns and so forth. So it wasn’t hard to find volunteers.”

Some real-life episodes, however, are sparking a debate about whether all that gear also creates a more militarized mind-set for local police that exceeds their mission or risks public safety.

In one case, dozens of officers in combat-style gear raided a youth rave in Utah as a police helicopter buzzed overhead. An online video shows the battle-ready team wearing masks and brandishing rifles as they holler for the music to be shut off and pin partygoers to the ground.

And Arizona tactical officers this year sprayed the home of ex-Marine Jose Guerena with gunfire as he stood in a hallway with a rifle that he did not fire. He was hit 22 times and died. Police had targeted the man’s older brother in a narcotics-trafficking probe, but nothing illegal was found in the younger Guerena’s home, and no related arrests had been made months after the raid.

In Maryland, officials finally began collecting data on tactical raids after police in 2008 burst into the home of a local mayor and killed his two dogs in a case in which the mayor’s home was used as a dropoff for drug deal. The mayor’s family had nothing to do with criminal activity.

Such episodes and the sheer magnitude of the expenditures over the last decade raise legitimate questions about whether taxpayers have gotten their money’s worth and whether police might have assumed more might and capability than is necessary for civilian forces.

“With local law enforcement, their mission is to solve crimes after they’ve happened, and to ensure that people’s constitutional rights are protected in the process,” says Jesselyn McCurdy, senior legislative counsel for the American Civil Liberties Union. “The military obviously has a mission where they are fighting an enemy. When you use military tactics in the context of law enforcement, the missions don’t match, and that’s when you see trouble with the overmilitarization of police.”

The upgrading of local police nonetheless continues. Arizona Sheriff Joe Arpaio now claims to operate his own air armada of private pilots—dubbed Operation Desert Sky—to monitor illegal border crossings, and he recently added a full-size surplus Army tank. New York Police Commissioner Ray Kelly boasted this fall he had a secret capability to shoot down an airliner if one threatened the city again. And the city of Ogden, Utah, is launching a 54-foot, remote-controlled “crime-fighting blimp” with a powerful surveillance camera.

Back in Fargo, nearby corn and soybean farmer Tim Kozojed supports the local police but questions whether the Homeland grants have been spent wisely. ”I’m very reluctant to get anxious about a terrorist attack in North Dakota,” Kozojed, 31, said. “Why would they bother?”

Monday, December 19, 2011


Fellow Conservatives:

You may remember the slogan "It's the economy, stupid" used by Bill Clinton during the 1992 presidential campaign to make the point that George H. W. Bush had not adequately addressed the poor economy.

Clinton's political strategist, James Carville, posted the phrase inside campaign headquarters as a way to keep the team focused and on message. The phrase later became the de facto slogan for the Clinton election campaign.

The slogan could make a comeback in 2012 as Republicans highlight Barack Obama's dismal economic record, but if you consider yourself a freedom-loving American, then I have a different slogan for you.

"It's the Senate, stupid."

That's right. It's the Senate, stupid.

Most Americans are focused on the presidential race right now, especially as the GOP nomination process is about to shift into high gear. But winning the White House — as critical as it is — won't be enough to save the country we love without a strong, conservative majority in the United States Senate.

  • Without a conservative Senate, we won't repeal Obamacare.
  • Without a conservative Senate, we won't balance the budget.
  • Without a conservative Senate, we won't secure our borders.
  • Without a conservative Senate, we won't stop the bailouts.
  • And without a conservative Senate, we won't enact the pro-growth policies needed to get America back to work.

If you're reading this letter, chances are, you follow current events more than most and you probably understand the point I'm making — winning the Senate is the key to restoring America's greatness.

Not only do the Democrats currently control the Senate but the rules of the Senate make it extremely powerful. If conservatives control the Senate, we not only can pass the reforms needed to undo Obama's mess, but we can also stop even more bad policies from being adopted.

The simple fact of the matter is this: a good president without a conservative Senate is a waste of a good president.

A president can campaign on great policies, but he doesn't write the bills. As long as liberals are in charge of writing legislation, it will be difficult for a Republican president to sign the right bills into law. Does anyone think Harry Reid will ever send a bill to the President's desk to repeal ObamaCare? The answer is no and that's why I am entirely focused on packing the Senate with strong conservatives who will one day make that a reality.

There are 23 Democrat Senate seats up this cycle, and Republicans stand a strong chance of taking the Senate back. But it's not enough to just have a majority. We must have new senators who deeply believe in the principles of freedom and are willing to fight for them each day.

As we head into the most important election year in our lifetimes, my challenge is to you is to keep your focus on winning a conservative majority in the U.S. Senate. These races and the candidates running in them aren't getting the same media attention as the presidential candidate, but they're no less important.

That is why I founded and chair the Senate Conservatives Fund, a political action committee that helps elect rock-solid conservative leaders to the U.S. Senate.

We have endorsed the following four standout leaders for the 2012 elections: Josh Mandel in Ohio, Ted Cruz in Texas, Don Stenberg in Nebraska, and Mark Neumann in Wisconsin.

These candidates share a strong belief in the principles of freedom that make America great and they understand the critical role the U.S. Constitution plays in preserving those principles.

These leaders also have records that prove they not only talk the talk but also walk the walk. And each of them has shown the courage to stand up to their own party's leaders when it was necessary to support and defend our principles and values.

So if you agree that winning a conservative majority in the U.S. Senate is vital to our nation's future and if you're willing to engage in these races even at a time when the media ignores them, then please do three things today.

  • First, visit SenateConservatives.com and sign up for our email updates so you're informed.

  • Second, make a contribution either to SCF or directly to one or more of our candidates. Without financial support, these candidates won't be able to get their message out and win.

  • Third, forward this email to your family and friends. As politely as you can, tell them "It's the Senate, stupid" and encourage them to join our effort to take America back.

Thank you for your commitment to principles of freedom. We live the greatest country in the world and if we work together in smart and effective ways, I'm confident we can preserve it for generations to come.

Respectfully,

Jim DeMint
United States Senator
Chairman, Senate Conservatives Fund

From Prophecy News

The Isaiah 9:10 prophecy: Is U.S. under God's judgment?




A messianic rabbi from New Jersey is stunning audiences nationwide by revealing the striking parallels between the fall of ancient Israel and what he suggests are God's early judgments of America.

Jonathan Cahn of the Jerusalem Center-Beth Israel Congregation in Wayne, N.J., says an otherwise obscure passage in the Book of Isaiah is since Sept. 11, 2001, being uncannily re-enacted in the U.S. just the way it originally played out in the time of the great prophet of Israel leading to the nation's captivity and dispersions.

In a new book, "The Harbinger," Cahn reveals what he calls "an ancient mystery that holds the secret of America's future and the collapse of the global economy."

"Before its destruction as a nation, ancient Israel received nine harbingers, prophetic omens of warning," he says. "The same nine harbingers are now manifesting in America with immediate ramifications for end-time prophecy."

The key to decoding the harbingers, he says, is found in understanding the seemingly innocuous words of Isaiah 9:10 (King James Version), what it meant to Israel and how the history seems to be repeating itself in America today.

"The bricks are fallen down, but we will build with hewn stones: the sycomores are cut down, but we will change them into cedars."

These words were first uttered by leaders in Israel and in response to a limited strike by Assyria on the lands of Zebulun and Naphtali – an attack the prophet makes clear is actually part of a limited judgment by God against apostasy. It wasn't meant to destroy the nation, but to awaken it, according to most commentaries.

But, says Cahn, Israel didn't take the cue. Instead, the response from the people in Isaiah 9:10 is one of defiance. The brick buildings were toppled, but they vowed to build bigger and better. The little sycamore trees may have been uprooted, but they vowed to plant bigger and better cedars in their place.

God, speaking through Isaiah, explains what will happen as a result of their pride and arrogance and failure to heed the harbinger: Bigger and more potent attacks will follow. Because neither the northern kingdom of Israel nor the southern kingdom of Judah truly repents, the first is eventually swept away by Assyrian invaders and the latter is carried off into captivity by the Babylonians for 70 years.

But what does this have to do with the United States of America – particularly what the U.S. experienced on 9/11 and since? Cahn has found some eerie parallels.

"In the aftermath of the attack, the nation was stunned," said Cahn, "Everyone was trying to make sense of what had happened – this unprecedented attack on America. The very next day, September 12, then Senate Majority Leader Tom Daschle presented America's response to the world. And what did he say?"

Daschle said: "America will emerge from this tragedy as we have emerged from all adversity – united and strong. Nothing … nothing can replace the losses of those who have suffered. I know there is only the smallest measure of inspiration that can be taken from this devastation. But there is a passage in the Bible from Isaiah that speaks to all of us at times like this."

"Daschle has no idea what he is doing here," explains Cahn. "He thinks he's offering comforting words to a grief-stricken people, but he is actually embracing the spiritually defiant and arrogant words of the children of Israel, proclaiming the ancient and ominous vow of the leaders of that nation. He doesn't realize it, but he is actually inviting more judgment on the nation."

It might be of some significance that Daschle, one of the most powerful men in the nation when he spoke those words, later fell into disgrace – to the point where he couldn't even serve in Barack Obama's Cabinet.

That might have been the end of the story – if no other top leader in the nation uttered those strange and obscure words after 9/11. But that's not the case.

On the third anniversary of the attack, Sept. 11, 2004, another powerful U.S. senator running for vice president that year and who would famously run for the presidency four years later, gave a speech to the Congressional Black Caucus.

This time, John Edwards' entire speech was built on a foundation of Isaiah 9:10: "Today, on this day of remembrance and mourning, we have the Lord's Word to get us through," he said. He then read Isaiah 9:10. He went on to talk about how America was doing just that – rebuilding with hewn stone and planting cedars:

"Like Daschle, Edwards thinks he's invoking inspirational and comforting words from the Bible, but he's actually inviting judgment on America," says Cahn. "He's repeating the vow that provoked God to bring calamity on ancient Israel."

Daschle and Edwards were hardly alone among U.S. leaders in making similar statements, as Cahn's "The Harbinger" reveals.

But aside from such statements, which could be chalked up to political talk and coincidences, is there anything else linking Isaiah 9:10 to 9/11?

The book is full of shocking parallels. There was actually a very famous sycamore tree felled in the attack on the World Trade Center. It was replaced by trees in the same genus as the cedar. There have been many plans made to rebuild the twin towers bigger and better and a large "hewn stone" was actually quarried out of the Adirondack Mountains in New York and brought to Ground Zero as a cornerstone.

"The parallels are truly stunning," says Joseph Farah, founder of WND, who is producing a video documentary about Cahn's findings. "They are too numerous and too powerful to relate in news story form. In fact, they are overwhelming in their number and their exactitude. I am persuaded God is trying to tell America something and Rabbi Cahn has found the key to unlocking the message."

Farah says events continue to unfold that seem to link directly to the message of Isaiah 9:10 right here in the United States.

Saturday, December 17, 2011

From Heritage Action for America

Huge Spending Bill Must Be Stopped
Londa,
TODAY Congress will vote on a massive $914.8 billion omnibus spending bill. If passed, it would push total discretionary spending for fiscal year 2012 higher than 2011 spending. Americans sent this Congress to Washington to cut spending, not increase it.
>> Call Congress, and tell them to reject this wasteful spending bill.
Not only does the omnibus spend too much of your money, it is also bad policy. From pushing back on damaging EPA regulations to subsidizing the energy industry to de-funding Obamacare and Planned Parenthood, it is unacceptable.
The simple fact is that packaging nine appropriations bills together, behind closed doors, is the kind of bad policy-making this Congress promised to reject.
>> Call your Members of Congress, and tell them to oppose this bloated omnibus.
Thanks for holding Congress accountable. Heritage Action is here in DC, ensuring your Members of Congress get the conservative message.
Sincerely,

Russ Vought
Political Director
Heritage Action for America

From The Patriot Post

Alexander's Essay – December 15, 2011

Liberty v the Fatal Cycle of Democracy


The Path from Freedom to Bondage


"Honor, justice, and humanity, forbid us tamely to surrender that freedom which we received from our gallant ancestors, and which our innocent posterity have a right to receive from us. We cannot endure the infamy and guilt of resigning succeeding generations to that wretchedness which inevitably awaits them if we basely entail hereditary bondage on them." --Thomas Jefferson


December 15th marks the anniversary of the 1791 ratification of the Bill of Rights, the common name for the first 10 amendments to our Constitution. The purpose of the Bill was, and remains, to assert the enumeration of limitations on the national government in order to protect our natural rights to Liberty and property as "endowed by our Creator."

There was much debate among our Founders about the need to enumerate rights that are inherently endowed, especially as amendments rather than in the corpus of our Constitution. Alexander Hamilton argued this point in Federalist No. 84: "I ... affirm that bills of rights ... are not only unnecessary in the proposed Constitution, but would even be dangerous. ... For why declare that things shall not be done which there is no power to do?"

But a majority of our Founders, led by James Madison and George Mason, prevailed, and the state legislatures concurred with the addition of enumerated limitations on the central government, as outlined by the Bill of Rights Preamble: "The Conventions of a number of the States having at the time of their adopting the Constitution, expressed a desire, in order to prevent misconstruction or abuse of its powers, that further declaratory and restrictive clauses should be added..."

Thus, it is a fitting day to pause and take account of the principles of Essential Liberty embodied in our Constitution, the sustenance for which generations of Patriots have expended much treasure, blood and life.

As a vigilant student of American history, I can't state too emphatically that we are at a tipping point between Liberty and tyranny. I also argue that this juncture is like no other since the Tenth Amendment challenge that was waged and lost in the War Between the States.

For those who choose to read such words as hyperbole, Samuel Adams said it best: "If ye love wealth better than liberty, the tranquility of servitude better than the animating contest of freedom, go home from us in peace. We ask not your counsels or arms. Crouch down and lick the hands, which feed you. May your chains set lightly upon you, and may posterity forget that ye were our countrymen."

But it is the inherent nature of genuine Patriots to stand ever ready to defend Liberty, convicted that, in the words of George Washington, "Our cause is noble; it is the cause of mankind."

It is in that spirit that I offer this observation about this precarious position we now inhabit between freedom and bondage.

Do you believe our nation is at a critical juncture? Post your opinion.

To fully understand the state of our Republic, one must consider it in the context of history to avoid repetition. As 20th-century philosopher George Santayana concluded in his treatise, "The Life of Reason": "Progress, far from consisting in change, depends on retentiveness. When experience is not retained, as among savages, infancy is perpetual. Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it."


In 1764, as historian Edward Gibbon "sat musing amidst the ruins" of Rome, he was inspired to write about the failure of republics. The original text of his seminal work, "The History of the Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire," was published in 1776, as our Patriot ancestors were declaring our natural right to Liberty. Gibbon outlined in detail how opulence and entitlement led to the incremental loss of civic virtue.

The 18th/19th century Scotsman Alexander Fraser Tytler, a lawyer and professor of history, summarized this link as follows: "[Patriotism], like all other affections and passions, it operates with the greatest force where it meets with the greatest difficulties ... but in a state of ease and safety, as if wanting its appropriate nourishment, it languishes and decays. ... It is a law of nature to which no experience has ever furnished an exception, that the rising grandeur and opulence of a nation must be balanced by the decline of its heroic virtues."

Tytler's assertion about the relationship between opulence and decadence reflected his astute understanding of human nature.

This contiguous rise and decline has been characterized as a fatal "Cycle of Democracy" (often misattributed to Tytler as its source). The cycle follows this sequence: From bondage to spiritual faith; From spiritual faith to great courage; From courage to Liberty (Rule of Law); From Liberty to abundance; From abundance to complacency; From complacency to apathy; From apathy to dependence; From dependence back into bondage (rule of men).

So, at what stage of this rise and decline do we now find ourselves? In his recent book, "After America," Mark Steyn gives us a clue.

With their average 8th grade education, the Greatest Generation built the strongest and most innovative economy in history. However, "In the space of one generation," writes Steyn, "a nation of savers became the world's largest debtors, and a nation of makers and doers became a cheap service economy." Indeed, our country now hosts the most over-educated and under-productive generation in history, and has institutionalized a social subculture demanding government subsidies to compensate for their lack of initiative.

"Big government makes small citizens," Steyn concludes. "A great power can survive a lot of things, but not a mediocrity of spirit. A wealthy nation living on the accumulated cultural capital of a glorious past can dodge its rendezvous with fate, but only for so long."

It is my observation that since WWII, we have transitioned from abundance to complacency, from complacency to apathy and from apathy to dependence.

At what stage of the cycle of democracy is our nation, and why? Post your opinion.

The rise of populist Socialism spawned by Barack Hussein Obama and his Leftist cadres, has resulted in a surge of dependence upon the state.

The manifestation of this dependence spilled onto the streets this year in the form of the "Occupy Movement."

In fact, Time Magazine, that erstwhile advocate of statism, just named its 2011 Person of the Year, "The Protester." Its cover story category, "Prelude to the Revolutions," lists in order of significance, first Tunisians protesting dictatorial tyranny, second Egyptians protesting dictatorial tyranny, and third, "Occupy Wall Street and its millions of supporters." (To be fair, a few paragraphs later Time did richly understate, "The stakes are very different in different places. In North America and most of Europe, there are no dictators, and dissidents don't get tortured.")

As for the gap between dependence and bondage, philosopher and author of "Atlas Shrugged," Ayn Rand, wrote, "The difference between a welfare state and a totalitarian state is a matter of time."

The most pressing question now is this: Are we irrevocably locked into the Cycle of Democracy where totalitarian rule of men is inevitable, or is there still time to restore republican Rule of Law?

The answer, I believe, is no and yes, respectively. But time is short.

The prospect for restoring Liberty as enshrined in our Constitution continues to improve as the number of Americans joining the debate over the proper role of government authorized by our Constitution grows strong. There is a resurgence of Patriotism underway, and together we can sustain the sunrise on Liberty.

We can and must circumvent the Cycle of Democracy to avoid the terminus of Democratic Socialism which is bondage. Together, we can maintain the momentum of our mission and charge. Thank you Patriots for locking and loading on the frontlines of Liberty.

From Townhall

Can Congress make legal something that is inherently wrong, and can Congress take a freedom that is a part of our humanity and make its exercise criminal?
If there were no First Amendment, would we still have the freedom of speech? The answer, like many in the law, depends on what values underlie the legal system. If the government is the source of our rights, then without the First Amendment's guarantees of free speech, any government could legally punish you for saying words and expressing thoughts it hated or feared; and it could even silence you before you spoke.
On the other hand, if our rights come from our humanity and our humanity is a gift from God, then we would still enjoy the freedom of speech, whether it is insulated from government interference by the First Amendment or not. The wording of the First Amendment itself gives us a peek at what its authors thought. They wrote: "Congress shall make no law ... abridging the freedom of speech." It doesn't say that Congress shall grant freedom of speech; rather, it prohibits Congress from interfering with it. And by referring to free speech as the freedom of speech, the drafters recognized that the freedom of speech already existed before the country that they were founding even came to be.
The same founders who drafted the First Amendment also accepted Thomas Jefferson's values articulated in the Declaration of Independence that we are endowed by our "Creator with certain inalienable rights, (and) that among these are life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness." It is clear beyond serious dispute from just scratching the surface of history that wedded to this country at its birth is the Judeo-Christian concept of the natural law. The natural law is the self-evident truth that our rights come from our humanity; that we have them by virtue of our mortal existence; that they do not depend upon government for their existence; that they do not vary as a consequence of where we are now or where our mothers were when we were born; and thus we remain fully endowed of these rights so long as we live, wherever we go. If you believe that we are the present result not of a supreme being, but of natural selection, you can accept as the founders did that humanity -- and not government -- is the repository of freedom.
I suspect that most people accept the natural law. We have even seen people in the government claim to accept it. Yet almost as soon as they take the oath to uphold these values, they start rejecting them. In the Patriot Act, for example, Congress made it a crime to reveal that the feds came calling on you with a search warrant in which a federal agent authorized himself to search records that you might have. This, of course, not only violates the Fourth Amendment, which stipulates that only judges may authorize searches, but it also violates the First Amendment because it punishes speech.
This week, Congress is wrestling with more proposals that violate the natural law. One of our fundamental natural rights is the right to be free from government restraint, absent a proven case of criminal behavior. This, too, was articulated by the framers when they wrote in the Fifth Amendment: "No person shall be ... deprived of life, liberty, or property without due process of law." This recognizes the right to be free from restraint by the government, unless the government, utilizing due process, can make a case against you. That means a fair trial in your presence, with lawyers defending you and jurors deciding your case under the guidance of a neutral judge.
Yet, your representatives in Congress are about to authorize the president to violate your natural rights by enacting legislation that would permit him to use the military to arrest Americans and restrain them without due process. Even King George III, against whose armies the colonists fought for freedom, did not have the power to do that. And, just because Congress votes to make these acts of tyranny legal does not mean they are constitutional. The Constitution is a higher law than anything Congress can write; and all that Congress writes must conform to it.
Since the Constitution was written to keep the government from violating our natural rights, what can you do when the very government we have hired to protect those rights is violating them? If you live in Iowa or New Hampshire, you can vote for the only Republican candidate running for president who believes that the Constitution means what it says. You know who he is.

Judge Andrew Napolitano

Judge Andrew Napolitano

Judge Andrew P. Napolitano is the youngest life-tenured Superior Court judge in the history of the State of New Jersey. He sat on the bench from 1987 to 1995, during which time he presided over 150 jury trials and thousands of motions, sentencings and hearings. He taught constitutional law at Seton Hall Law School for 11 years, and he returned to private practice in 1995. Judge Napolitano began television work in the same year.

Breaking on TOWNHALL

Joan of Ark

THANK YOU!!!! I'M AM SORRY. I've corrected 2/24/11. I didn't mean to have the cuss words on this blog.  In Christ,
Rev. Picard

Thursday, December 15, 2011

The Quote of the Decade:


“The fact that we are here today to debate raising America 's debt limit is a sign of leadership failure.

It is a sign that the US Government cannot pay its own bills.

It is a sign that we now depend on ongoing financial assistance from foreign countries to finance ourGovernment's reckless fiscal policies.

Increasing America 's debt weakens us domestically and internationally.

Leadership means that, "the buck stops here.'

Instead, Washington is shifting the burden of bad choices today onto the backs of our children and grandchildren.

America has a debt problem and a failure of leadership. Americans deserve better.”

~ Senator Barack H. Obama, March 2006